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Öğe Export and Exchange Rate Volatility Relationship in Turkish Economy(Ege Univ, Fac Economics & Admin Sciences, 2016) Sevim, Cuneyt; Dogan, Taylan TanerThis study fundamentally examines the effects of exchange rate volatility on export. The data consists of Turkey's five most prominent export partners Germany, France, Italy, United Kingdom, and USA during a period between January, 2002 and November 2014 and it has been analyzed by the ARDL bound testing approach. In addition, the effects of real exchange rate and industrial production index on export have been scrutinized. Findings show that contrary to theoritical expactations, exchange rate volatility has no statistically significal effect on export neither in short term or long term.Öğe Persistency in tourism expenditure in a small-open economy(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2018) Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Aksoy, Emre; Arslanturk, Yalcin; Cetinkaya, Murat; Dogan, Taylan Taner; Durusoy, Omer TanjuThis study aims to examine whether the shocks to the Turkish tourism have a permanent or a transitory effect on tourism expenditure for the period 1964-2012. We took the structural break periods from Lumsdaine and Papell (LP) unit-root test as a base and implemented the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit-root test for the three different sub-periods of the series of tourism expenditure. In this study, we also estimated the measure of half-life for the effects of shocks on the series under consideration and the grid-bootstrap method to estimate confidence intervals. The results show, irrespective of the structural breaks, the effect of shocks on tourism expenditure is persistent; however, considering the structural breaks, the effect of shocks on tourism expenditure is transitory.