A mathematical modelling approach for planning health resources after earthquake: Kirikkale city example

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dc.contributor.authorCiftci, Sema
dc.contributor.authorSakalli, Umit Sami
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-21T16:35:00Z
dc.date.available2025-01-21T16:35:00Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.departmentKırıkkale Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractEarthquakes are the most common type of disaster, which causes life and property loss. After the earthquake, chaotic conditions make the intervention and recovery process difficult. In the management of this process, the resources available (health, shelter, AFAD teams, etc.) it is necessary to successfully allocate it to the debris areas. In the early hours after the earthquakes, the injured are more likely to survive in relation to the severity of injury (heavy and detertable wounded) and in the correct proportion of the time elapsed; as time progresses, this is less likely. Therefore, the first intervention of the injured from the wreckage must be carried out and those in need must be rushed to the hospital. Therefore, health resources planning is crucial to reducing the devastating effects of the earthquake. In this study, a mathematical model of 0-1 mixed numbers was developed, aimed at minimizing the number of injured people who lost their lives after the earthquake. In the model, it is requested to assign health units (doctors, nurses, equipment) to perform crime scene triage to the debris areas, assign ambulances to the hospital for the transfer of injured people who have been triyed at the crime scene, and to decide which hospitals the ambulances should be directed to. The modeling of the model as a markov chain of health changes in the multi -period and injured people is a contributor to literature. The developed model was tested using the GAMS CPLEX solver with possible earthquake scenario data for the Kirikkale province. The test results show that the model developed can be used as an effective planning tool for healthcare allocation.
dc.identifier.doi10.17341/gazimmfd.1092469
dc.identifier.endpage1216
dc.identifier.issn1300-1884
dc.identifier.issn1304-4915
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.startpage1203
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.17341/gazimmfd.1092469
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12587/24056
dc.identifier.volume38
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000873967500045
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherGazi Univ, Fac Engineering Architecture
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of The Faculty of Engineering and Architecture of Gazi University
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_20241229
dc.subjectEarthquake; resources allocation; planning; mathematical model; mixed integer programming
dc.titleA mathematical modelling approach for planning health resources after earthquake: Kirikkale city example
dc.typeArticle

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