Persistence of Rainfall Time Series: Kırşehir Case Study
| dc.contributor.author | Oruc, Sertac | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2025-01-21T14:28:26Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2025-01-21T14:28:26Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2022 | |
| dc.description.abstract | This study examines the persistence and long-term correlation of monthly and seasonal rainfall time series of Kırşehir for the period of 1960-2019, with widely used Hurst exponent and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) analyses. Both Hurst exponent and DFA analyses could be used to detect the long-term memory and correlation that can be assessed as a reference of predictability. To support the analyses results Augmented Dickey Fuller and Mann-Kendall tests also applied to time series. Within various rainfall series, evidence of persistence and long-term correlation was identified. According to H exponent values of simple R/S and corrected R/S methods, 10 out of 12 months and winter, spring (only simple R/S), summer (only corrected R/S) and autumn season and according to DFA scaling exponent values 4 out of 12 months and winter and autumn seasons exhibit long term correlation. On the other hand, when the H exponent and DFA scaling exponent values compared only four monthly and two seasonal rainfall series concluded to be consistent with both H exponent and DFA scaling exponent results. | |
| dc.identifier.dergipark | 868317 | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.29137/umagd.868317 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1308-5514 | |
| dc.identifier.issue | 1-246 | |
| dc.identifier.startpage | 255 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1533406 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/umagd/issue/68314/868317 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://doi.org/10.29137/umagd.868317 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12587/20297 | |
| dc.identifier.volume | 1 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.publisher | Kırıkkale Üniversitesi | |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Uluslararası Mühendislik Araştırma ve Geliştirme Dergisi | |
| dc.relation.publicationcategory | Makale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi | |
| dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | |
| dc.snmz | KA_20241229 | |
| dc.subject | Hurst exponent | |
| dc.subject | Persistence | |
| dc.subject | Detrended Fluctuation Analysis | |
| dc.subject | Rainfall | |
| dc.subject | Civil Engineering | |
| dc.subject | İnşaat Mühendisliği | |
| dc.title | Persistence of Rainfall Time Series: Kırşehir Case Study | |
| dc.type | Article |
