Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model

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dc.contributor.authorYasar, Zaim Reha
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-21T16:34:13Z
dc.date.available2025-01-21T16:34:13Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentKırıkkale Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractT & uuml;rkiye is a country in which the COVID-19 pandemic has deeply affected export performance. The aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Turkish export performance using different variables indicating the severity of the COVID-19 effects. The effect of COVID-19 on T & uuml;rkiye's export performance is empirically analysed with the ARDL approach by employing time series data covering the 2013:q1-2022:q1 period. The estimation results of the six models indicate that COVID-19 does not affect Turkish export performance in the long term, whereas its lagged variables have negative and significant effects in the short term. Foreign income has positive and statistically significant effects on export volumes in both the short and long term. The exchange rate significantly and negatively affects export flows in both the short and long term. The results of this paper are robust against different types of COVID-19 proxies. COVID-19 has negative effects on exports in the short run for T & uuml;rkiye's economy. The results indicate that policymakers should consider the lagged effects of variables in addition to the current version. The findings also show the recommendation that short- and long-run estimations should be conducted to determine the short- and long-run relations.
dc.identifier.doi10.26650/JEPR1477032
dc.identifier.endpage277
dc.identifier.issn2148-3876
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.startpage263
dc.identifier.trdizinid1280433
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR1477032
dc.identifier.urihttps://search.trdizin.gov.tr/tr/yayin/detay1280433
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12587/23910
dc.identifier.volume11
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001327185100007
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizin
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherIstanbul Univ
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Economic Policy Researches-Iktisat Politikasi Arastirmalari Dergisi
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_20241229
dc.subjectCovid-19; Export performance; Supply chain; Lockdown policies; ARDL method
dc.titleInfluence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model
dc.typeArticle

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